Sunday, October 31, 2010

Sunday Plays

NFL 6 Point Teasers
2,3,4 Team round robins
Denver Broncos +8½ -110 for Game
Kansas City Chiefs -1 -110 for Game
Seattle Seahawks +8 -110 for Game
Pittsburgh Steelers +7½ -110 for Game

Teasers have been doing really poorly this year, hopefully this will reverse the trend.

Thursday, October 28, 2010

5Dimes Promotion Ending

Reminder that the "Official Pure Sabermetrics Sportsbook of the Month" promotion is ending for 5Dimes.

To date, we have had 1 signup. Some real eye popping numbers. We'll try again in a few days with another sportsbook.

Guerrero vs Murphy

Do Guerrero's defensive liabilities offset his offensive value? Is it smart to replace Guerrero for Murphy IF (as Ron Washington claims) it isn't for defensive reasons?

The answer is No and No, but then again Ron Washington makes tons more money than I do.

I also don't have the slightest clue how SF put up that many runs. Not because Cliff Lee is such a super stud post season pitcher, like everyone on ESPN is saying (sample size people), but because the Giants really aren't that good with the bat.

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Sunday, October 17, 2010

Sunday Plays

NFL Teasers (6 Point)
2,3,4 team round robin
BAL +8.5
ATL +9 (only at Bodog)
SF -1
DAL +7.5

these plays got a little messed up because the line on ATL moved and currently can't tease DAL @ bodog. Good luck.

Saturday, October 9, 2010

Sunday Plays

NFL 6 Point Teasers (2 team round robin -105, 4 team round robin +300, 5 team +450)
Baltimore Ravens -1 -110 for Game
Jacksonville Jaguars +7½ -110 for Game
Indianapolis Colts -1 -110 for Game
Washington Redskins +8½ -105 for Game
Dallas Cowboys -1 -110 for Game

Smell Like a Monster

Saturday Plays

NCAA 6 Point Teasers
Round robin 4 teams +300 and a 5 team +450 for kicks
South Florida -2 -110 for Game
Penn State -2 -110 for Game
Northwestern -2½ -110 for Game
New Mexico +8½ -110 for Game
Florida Atlantic +8½ -110 for Game

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Is NBA Sabermetrics (APBRmetrics) Dead?

Mark Cuban recently posted some thoughts on "NBA Sabermetrics" (he termed it "sabremetrics") : BlogMaverick

It is interesting coming from him, considering he has previously been a proponent of "APBRmetrics" or "NBA Sabermetrics". I think it does stem from his frustration of the inability to form a championship team in Dallas, but he hasn't done bad. A large part of the problem is trading for older, past prime players, a la, Shawn Marion, Jason Kidd, etc.

Sabermetrics work much better in baseball because there is very little "teamwork/play/chemistry" in baseball, it is very much a 1 on 1 game. Basketball is much tougher because you cannot just replace a player and the team won't miss a beat. Compare swapping Albert Pujols with Ryan Howard and Derick Rose with Devin Harris.

Anyways those are just my initial thoughts when reading the post. Feel free to tell me I'm a fool.

Monday, October 4, 2010

MLB Series Plays

So I completely failed and forgot football was on Sunday so there were no teaser plays for last week.

Here is the only series price I like so far.
Atlanta (Series) +153 (1) [Matchbook]