Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Wednesday Results

So Jason Terry had a +/- of +27 over 40 min. Not bad.
Wasn't Memphis up like 14 in the 3rd?

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Wednesday Plays

MILWAUKEE +9½-110 (1.1) [Bookmaker]

Added Plays
Boston -3.0 +103 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Miami -7.0 -103 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Memphis 2.5 +103 (1.3) [Matchbook]

Sunday, March 28, 2010

Monday Plays

SAN ANTONIO -8-110 (1.5) [Bookmaker]
DENVER +5½-110 (1.2) [Bookmaker]

MLB Player Props

All from [SuperBook]/[Sportsbook.com]. They tend to have the softest props. I made these a while ago, but didn't post because it took me a while to get all the money down I wanted on these guys. However, all of the odds are the same still, except the Zimmerman prop which has moved to -125.
[SuperBook]/[Sportsbook.com] are the best for unders because they only require that a player play 1 game, unlike [bodog] where there is a game requirement.

Enjoy.

Adam Lind - Total Regular Season Home Runs
Regular Season HRs
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Under 27.5 (-115)

Mark Teixeira - Total Regular Season Home Runs
Regular Season HRs
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Under 35.5 (-115)

Adam Dunn - Total Regular Season Home Runs
Regular Season HRs
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Under 35.5 (-115)

Grady Sizemore - Total Regular Season Home Runs
Regular Season HRs
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Over 25.5 (-115)

Ryan Zimmerman - Total Regular Season Home Runs
Regular Season HRs
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Under 29.5 (-115)

Albert Pujols - Total Regular Season Home Runs
Regular Season HRs
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Under 39.5 (-115)

Kendry Morales - Total Regular Season Home Runs
Regular Season HRs
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Under 24.5 (-105)

Ichiro Suzuki - Total Regular Season Hits
Regular Season Hits
Must Play 1 Game 04/04/10(13:10 ET)
Under 207.5 (-115)

Saturday, March 27, 2010

Record Update

NBA
Week Results
6-6-1 (+1.03 units; ROI: 5.309%)

YTD Results
56-55-3 (-6.25 units; ROI: -3.81%)

Sunday Plays

INDIANA +8-110 (1.1) [Bookmaker]
ORLANDO -5½-110 (1.4) [Bookmaker]
PHOENIX -9-110 (1.2) [Bookmaker]
SAN ANTONIO +3½-110 (1.3) [Bookmaker]

Added Play
Miami -7.0 +104 (1.5) [Matchbook]

Saturday Plays

Utah -9.5 +104 (1) [Matchbook]
Houston 6.0 +101 (1.6) [Matchbook]

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Wednesday Results

Nice box out Rashard Lewis.
FU Josh Smith.
Travel much, Joe Johnson?
Suck much, Tim Duncan?

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Thursday Plays

MIAMI +1-110 (2.2) [Bookmaker]
HOUSTON -6½-110 (1.3) [Bookmaker]
PORTLAND -2½-110 (1.1) [Bookmaker]

Added Play
Houston -5.0 +108 (0.5) [Matchbook]
Line moved a lot, I'm not sure what everyone knows that I don't so we'll add another 1/2 unit.

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Wednesday Plays

UTAH -3-110 (1.4) [Bookmaker]
ORLANDO +1-110 (1.5) [Bookmaker]
SAN ANTONIO -1-110 (1.9) [Bookmaker]

No NCAAB plays for this week.

Tuesday Plays

Dallas -10.0 +103 (1.4) [Matchbook]

Sorry this one is so late. Got to a library so I'll have a few plays.

Saturday, March 20, 2010

Next Week

I will probably be without internet access. Have fun watching your brackets get busted.

Record Update

NBA
Week Results
7-5-0 (+0.94 units; ROI: 5.136%)

YTD Results
50-49-2 (-7.28 units; ROI: -5.03%)

NCAAB
Week Results
6-5-1 (+0.47 units; ROI: 3.154%)

YTD Results
15-15-1 (-0.37 units; ROI: -0.95%)

Sunday Plays

SACRAMENTO +5-110 (2.8) [Bookmaker]
SAN ANTONIO +3½-110 (1.3) [Bookmaker]
CLEVELAND -12½-110 (1.4) [Bookmaker]

Friday, March 19, 2010

Saturday Plays

WISC -4 -110 (1.3) [Bookmaker]

NBA
New Jersey 4.0 +102 (1.3) [Matchbook]

Bookmaker.com

Hi all,
I have a new affiliate, [Bookmaker.com]. If you don't already have an account there, please sign up under my link. It will help keep Pure Sabermetrics alive, since I get a kickback for signups. You can also use the link + "PSaber" as the bonus code.

If you haven't noticed, I'm trying to hit lines as early as possible now, which [Bookmaker] is best for. I will be using it heavily, along with [BetJM] for the MLB season.

Thanks all.

Saturday Plays

[511] MILWAUKEE +9-110 (2.1) [Bookmaker]

Thursday, March 18, 2010

Friday Plays

NEW YORK Knicks -3½-110 (1.4) [BetJM]

Added Plays
NCAAB
DUKE -23-110 (1.7) [BetJM]
MEMPHIS U +4½-110 (1.2) [BetJM]
BYU 4.0 -102 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Ohio St -17.0 +103 (1) [Matchbook]
New Mexico St 13.5 -109 (1.3) [Matchbook]
Utah St 3.0 -102 (1.5) [Matchbook]

NBA
Oklahoma City -1.0 +104 (1) [Matchbook]
Cleveland -10.0 -102 (1.7) [Matchbook]
San Antonio -12.0 +100 (1.1) [Matchbook]

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Thursday Plays

ORL -3 -110 (1.2) [BetJM]

Wednesday Plays

Weber State 10.5 -103 (1.5) [Matchbook]
Virginia Tech -13.0 -103 (1.4) [Matchbook]
Boston U 7.5 -103 (1) [Matchbook]
Georgia Tech 1.5 -101 (1) [Matchbook]

NBA
New Jersey 6.0 -101 (1.6) [Matchbook]
Milwaukee -5.5 +107 (2.8) [Matchbook]

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Monday, March 15, 2010

Sunday, March 14, 2010

Record Update

NBA
Week Results
5-5-0 (-0.26 units; ROI: -1.74%)

YTD Results
43-44-2 (-8.22 units; ROI: -6.51%)

NCAAB
Week Results
9-10-0 (-0.84 units; ROI: -3.52%)

Friday, March 12, 2010

Friday Plays

NCAA
No Plays, all these freaking neutral/non-neutral/whatever courts are driving me crazy

NBA
Milwaukee -1.0 -101 (1.5) [Matchbook]
Phoenix 2.0 +103 (2) [Matchbook]

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Wednesday Plays

NCAAB
Ark Pine Bluff -9 -110 (1.2) [5Dimes]
Sam Houston -11½ -110 (1.2) [5Dimes]
Texas A&M Corpus -1 -110 (1.2) [5Dimes]
Stephen Austin -3 -110 (1.7) [5Dimes]
Cal Poly SLO +2½ -110 (1.8) [5Dimes]
Oregon +1½ -110 (1.3) [5Dimes]
Wyoming -1 -110 (2) [5Dimes]
Southern Mississippi -7 -110 (1.3) [5Dimes]
Texas Tech pk -110 (1.3) [5Dimes]
SMU -1.5 -109 (1.5) [Matchbook]

NBA
Dallas -11.0 -102 (1.4) [Matchbook]

Princeton

Seriously?
Princeton -12½ -105 (1) [5Dimes]







































12Total
Pennsylvania144256Final
Princeton402868


Seriously?

Lucky these are $10 units.

Tuesday Plays

NCAAB
Under 131.5 (SJ/CT) +100 (1) [Matchbook]
Princeton -12½ -105 (1) [5Dimes]
Wright State/Butler Over 121½ -105 (1) [5Dimes]
Northern Colorado 2.0 +105 (1) [Matchbook]
Bethune-Cookman -5.0 -103 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Howard +7 -105 (1) [5Dimes]
Over 139.0 (NT/TRY) +102 (1) [Matchbook]

NBA
Indiana -105 (1.5) [Matchbook]
Miami 3.5 +104 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Toronto 11.0 +106 (1.3) [Matchbook]

Monday, March 8, 2010

Record Update

NBA
Week Results
11-7-0 (+1.9 units; ROI: 7.786%)

YTD Results
38-39-2 (-7.96 units; ROI: -7.15%)

Wonderful bet-sizing

Monday Plays

Dallas Mavericks/Minnesota Timberwolves Under 207½ -105 (1.5) [5Dimes]
Golden State 6.5 -107 (1.7) [Matchbook]

Going to try a new NCAAB system out...
NCAAB
North Texas -1.0 -103 (1.2) [Matchbook]
Denver U/North Texas Over 126 -105 (1) [5Dimes]

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Official Pure Sabermetrics Swag

I have received my first shipment of official Pure Sabermetrics T-shirts. If people are interested, I will order more.

Congratulations to Nate, the only person who has donated under the Donations link. You should be receiving a free shirt in the mail soon.

Saturday, March 6, 2010

Saturday Plays

Indiana Pacers/Phoenix Suns Under 221½ -101 (1) [5Dimes]
Minnesota 4.5 +100 (1.2) [Matchbook]
New Jersey 8.5 -105 (1.3) [Matchbook]

Friday, March 5, 2010

Friday Plays

ORL MAGIC -9½-110 (1.1) [Skybook]
Oklahoma City Thunder -4½ -101 (1.4) [5Dimes]
Under 219.0 (IND/DEN) -110 (1.5) [Matchbook]
Indiana 10.0 +102 (1.1) [Matchbook]

MLB
LA Angels UNDER 85 Wins -130 [SuperBook]/[Sportsbook.com]

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Wednesday Plays

Over 195.0 (CLE/NJ) -107 (1) [Matchbook]
Detroit 4.0 -102 (2) [Matchbook]
Under 201.5 (MIN/DAL) -108 (1) [Matchbook]
Sacramento 7.5 +103 (1.8) [Matchbook]
Oklahoma City 6.5 +102 (2.2) [Matchbook]
Phoenix Suns -3½ -107 (1.1) [5Dimes]

Monday, March 1, 2010

Monday Plays

Dallas 3.0 -101 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Orlando -162 (1.6) [Matchbook]
Cleveland -11.0 +104 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Over 212.5 (NY/CLE) -109 (1) [Matchbook]
Chicago -106 (1.9) [Matchbook]

I reworked the formula I was using to calculate the lines a little bit. We'll see if that helps.