Saturday Plays

Chicago 3.0 +102 (1.4) [Matchbook]

Friday Plays

DET PISTONS +10-110 (1.5) [Skybook]
Los Angeles Clippers/Phoenix Suns Under 209½ -105 (1) [5Dimes]
Charlotte 3.5 -107 (1.1) [Matchbook]

Thursday Plays

Golden State 5.5 +107 (1.5) [Matchbook]

Tuesday Results

Got rocked yesterday.

0-3-0 (-4.5 units; ROI: -100%)

Still not exactly sure how PHX won w/o Nash. Maybe Dragic is Nash v2, but I doubt it. Or maybe he plays enough defense to make up for the offensive deficiencies...

Wednesday Plays

Minnesota 12.0 +100 (2.1) [Matchbook]
Under 204.0 (ORL/HOU) -102 (1) [Matchbook]
Oklahoma City 4.0 +103 (1.8) [Matchbook]

Tuesday Plays

LA LAKERS -5-105 (1.3) [SportBet]
New Jersey 7.5 +101 (1.2) [Matchbook]
Oklahoma City -6.5 +100 (2) [Matchbook]

MLB Projections

Some MLB Projections are up at Baseball Prospectus. I haven't had a chance to look at them myself, but if you are interested, check them out.

Sunday Plays

Golden State Warriors +5½ -110 for Game (1.2) [BetJM]
Boston 4.0 -102 (1.4) [Matchbook]
New Jersey 4.5 +102 (1.4) [Matchbook]

No Plays Today

It looks like no plays today. The recent trades have been screwing up my stats.

Good job TOR.

Bonus Clearing

In my attempt to clear some of my deposit bonus at [Sportsbook.com], I accidentally overbet TOR -2.5 -105 by a lot.
There was a "nice" 2cent arb on [Matchbook], except I bet the wrong side on [Sportsbook.com]. FML.

Letting it ride. Go TOR!

Friday Plays

Minnesota 1.0 +101 (1) [Matchbook]
Toronto -124 (1.3) [Matchbook]

Props

Props (pun intended) to DeMarcus Cousins for the handling of the 100s of calls from the Mississippi State fans.
Link

Record Page Updated

I added MLB 2009, NFL 2009, and WNBA 2008/2009 to the Record page if you are interested.

Notes:
I probably should not bet NFL. I have no idea how to cap NCAAB or NCAAFB so I'll stay away from those unless someone shares a system with me.

It is interesting to note, however, that NCAAB and NCAAFB are typically something that "sharps" typically do well on. I just don't know where to start other than to go to kenpom and choose the best team. I guess I like the challenge of beating the NBA/MLB.

Oh, and I should be absolutely KILLING the WNBA. I am, however, not.

Wednesday Plays

Minnesota 5.0 +101 (1.2) [Matchbook]
Detroit 11.0 +102 (1.9) [Matchbook]
New York -2.0 -103 (1.3) [Matchbook]
Houston 5.5 +100 (1.2) [Matchbook]
Minnesota Timberwolves/Washington Wizards Under 207 -107 (1) [5Dimes]

Last night I had a dream that I played basketball against Lebron James. He was a douche bag.

Tuesday Plays

So today I woke up with a big headache and apparently forgot to post plays. Be happy young minions.

I'm going to leave it as tracked because I'm not going to make a separate tracking sheet for this site.

These were the plays for your/my reference.

DAL Spread -101 2.4 L
NYK Spread -103 2 L
NYK/CHI Total -112 1 W
GSW Spread -102 1.8 W

No Plays Today

None for today. Be back next week unless I see some juicy All-star props.

Wednesday Results

4-2-0 (+3.77 units; ROI: 48.33%)

Should have bet freaking moneylines today.

Record Update

NBA Monte Carlo Simulation Record Update:

1/29/10-2/9/10
14-15-1 (-2.29 units; ROI: -5.31%)

I may look into adding ML bets into the mix.

Wednesday Plays

Miami 7.0 +100 (1) [Matchbook]
Portland 9.0 +104 (2) [Matchbook]
Golden State Warriors +1½ -108 (1.3) [5Dimes]
Los Angeles Lakers/Utah Jazz Over 201½ -105 (1) [5Dimes]
New Orleans Hornets +4½ -101 (1.5) [5Dimes]
Sacramento Kings/Detroit Pistons Under 198 -107 (1) [5Dimes]

I really like the lines that this system is generating, they seem very sharp, but the results thus far haven't show it. If this continues, I may have to rework the system some. We'll see how today goes.

Tuesday Plays

Detroit 8.0 -104 (1.2) [Matchbook]
Portland 1.5 +101 (2.1) [Matchbook]

Monday Plays

San Antonio 4.0 -101 (1.1) [Matchbook]
Golden State 4.0 +100 (1) [Matchbook]

Yay for fading Lakers and loving GS again.

Saturday Plays and Some Thoughts

NJ/DET U188.0 -110 (1) [Matchbook]
NYK +12.5 +101 (1.5) [Matchbook]
POR +3 -105 (2) [5Dimes]
GSW +4 -105 (2.3) [5Dimes]

So this new system seems to consistently like the dog in large spreads (NYK today), hate the Lakers, and love the Warriors. I'm not sure why, but that seems to be happening. I'll be following the trends to help tweak the system.

Friday Plays

WAS +13 (1.4) -110
DEN +8.5 (1.1) -110
DEN/LAL o199 (1) -110

From Skybook.

Thursday Plays

PORTLAND (TNT) +2½-110 (1) [SportBet]
MIAMI +10-110 (1.2) [SportBet]

I had 10.5 on Miami, but it changed as I was placing my bet FML.

Wednesday Plays

Philadelphia -2.0 -104 (1.2) [Matchbook]
Golden State 12.0 -102 (2.2) [Matchbook]

Tuesday Plays

Memphis 10.0 -102 (1.5) [Matchbook]
Los Angeles (C) 8.0 +104 (1.4) [Matchbook]
Golden State 7.0 -107 (1.1) [Matchbook]

Bonus bet for tomorrow:
Charlotte Bobcats +9½ -110 for Game (1.8) [BetJM]