Saturday, January 31, 2009

Record Update

Saturday Results
1Q
2-2-0 (+1.07 units; ROI: 13.54%)

3Q
1-0-0 (+1.36 units; ROI: 90.6%)

Week Results
1Q
11-8-2 (+4.27 units; ROI: 9.95%)

2Q
4-2-0 (+1.89 units; ROI: 32.86%)

3Q
2-0-0 (+2.27 units; ROI: 90.8%)

YTD Results
1Q
44-37-2 (+15.98 units; ROI: 10.60%)

2Q
6-2-0 (+2.77 units; ROI: 41.03%)

3Q
4-1-0 (+3.88 units; ROI: 66.3%)

Saturday Plays

LAL/MEM 1Q Under 52.5 -110 [5Dimes]
PHX 1Q -3 -110 (2.2) [5Dimes]
NYK/IND 1Q Under 57.5 -110 (1.5) [5Dimes]
NYK 1Q +1 -110 (3.2) [5Dimes]

NYK 3Q +1 -110 (1.5) [5Dimes]

Friday, January 30, 2009

Subscribe to Picks

To receive access to picks, you must purchase a subscription.

$25 for 1 week (Sunday-Saturday)
$75 for 4 weeks (Sunday-Saturday)

The week will not be prorated, so please purchase before the week starts (Week goes from Sunday-Saturday).

For details regarding this decision, please read this Post.

I will email out the passwords on Saturday night or Sunday morning.

You can pay via Paypal or Google Checkout:
To purchase a subscription, please go to this page:
http://www.puresabermetrics.com/subscribe-to-picks/

Please email me with any questions at mail@puresabermetrics.com

Friday Results

1Q
3-1-0 (+3.11 units; ROI: 44.42%)

2Q
3-0-0 (+2.73 units; ROI: 91%)

Friday 2Q Plays

GSW Q2 2.5 -110 [5Dimes]
LAC Q2 4.5 -110 [5Dimes]
WAS Q2 2.5 -110 [5Dimes]

Friday Plays

OKC 1Q +3 -110 (2.7) [5Dimes]
BOS 1Q -1.5 -110 (1.1) [5Dimes]
PHI 1Q -3 -110 (1.5) [5Dimes]

Added Play
MIN 1Q +1.5 -110 (1.7) [5Dimes]

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Wednesday Results

0-2-0 (-3.90 units; ROI: -100%)

2Q
1-1-0 (+0.16 units; ROI: 9.14%)

2Q Play

Golden State Warriors 2nd Quarter +2 -110 (.75) [5Dimes]

Added Play
Minnesota Timberwolves 2nd Quarter +½ -110 [5Dimes]

Wednesday Plays

Oklahoma City Thunder -2 -110 for 1st Quarter (2.9) [BetJM]/[5Dimes]
New York Knicks pk -110 for 1st Quarter [BetJM]/[5Dimes]

Monday, January 26, 2009

2Q Plays

Washington Wizards 2nd Quarter +½ -110 [5Dimes]

Not in addition to the 2Q play for paid subscribers.

Monday Plays

Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter -½ -110 [5Dimes]
Minnesota Timberwolves 1st Quarter +1 -105 (1.5) [5Dimes]
Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Quarter -½ -110 (1.5) [5Dimes]
Phoenix Suns 1st Quarter -1 -118 (1.8) [5Dimes]

Sunday, January 25, 2009

Sunday Results

3-1-1 (+1.06 units; ROI: 9.29%)
Bad bet sizing :-(. At least it was an up day :-).

Sunday Plays

San Antonio Spurs +2 -110 for 1st Quarter (1.5) [BetJM]
Sacramento Kings +3 -110 for 1st Quarter (1.4) [BetJM]
Houston Rockets +½ -110 for 1st Quarter (1.9) [BetJM]
Charlotte Bobcats +1 -110 for 1st Quarter (3.3) [BetJM]
Minnesota Timberwolves -1½ -110 for 1st Quarter (3.3) [BetJM]

No change in subscribers so I'll keep the same password.

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Record Update

Paid Picks (1Q):
Saturday Results
3-2-0 (+2.19 units; ROI: 24.88%)

Week Results
12-10-0 (+10.84 units; ROI: 24.91%)

YTD Results
33-29-0 (+11.71 units; ROI: 10.86%)

2Q Experimental System
2-0-0 (+0.88 units; ROI: 88.00%)

3Q System
Week Results
2-1-0 (+1.61 units; ROI: 48.05%)

Reminder to get payment in for next week if you would like to continue or renew your subscription.

New Experimental System

I will be starting up a brand new experimental system. I have no idea if it will be profitable in any way so don't do anything dumb.

MEM +.5 2Q -115 (.5) [5Dimes]
UTA -1 2Q -110 (.5) [5Dimes]

Saturday Plays

Washington Wizards 1st Quarter +3 -110 (1.3) [5Dimes]
Sacramento Kings 1st Quarter +2 -110 (2) [5Dimes]
New Jersey Nets 1st Quarter -½ -105 (2.4) [5Dimes]
Orlando Magic 1st Quarter -2 -110 (1.8) [5Dimes]
Philadelphia 76ers 1st Quarter -2 -110 (1.3) [5Dimes]

Something I'm thinking about:
1Q plays vs. 3Q plays aren't very correlated like how the 1st 6 min vs 1Q plays are. The lineups are more or less the same in 1Q vs 3Q and so is the playing time. So, should we bet BOTH the 1Q AND 3Q before the start of the game? I guess I'll have to do some more research before I throw money into the ring.

Friday, January 23, 2009

Friday Results

5-1-0 (+8.8 units; ROI: 58.66%)

Free Plays
2-0-0 (+2.36 units; ROI: 90.76%)

I usually track all of my bets at smartcapper.com, but that is currently down, so I spent tonight making a bet tracking spreadsheet. As a result, the record posts may look slightly different. I will also have to compile all past results somehow...

Friday Free Plays

Houston Rockets 3rd Quarter -1 -110 (1.1) [5Dimes]

Added Play
Toronto Raptors 3rd Quarter +½ -110 (1.5) [5Dimes]

Friday Plays

Toronto Raptors 1st Quarter +½ -110 (3.5) [5Dimes]
New Jersey Nets 1st Quarter +4 -115 (1.5) [5Dimes]
New York Knicks 1st Quarter -1½ -115 (2.5) [5Dimes]
Atlanta Hawks 1st Quarter -1½ -110 (3.3) [5Dimes]
Houston Rockets 1st Quarter +½ -110 (3) [5Dimes]
Charlotte Bobcats 1st Quarter +1 -105 (1.2) [5Dimes]

Yes, big day today. I had to reload my [5Dimes] account because of the number of plays.

Thursday, January 22, 2009

Thursday Results

0-5-0 (-5.50 units)

Fail.

Thursday Plays

Washington Wizards 1st Quarter +4 -110 (1.4) [5Dimes]
Orlando Magic 1st Quarter -1½ -110 (1.1) [5Dimes]
Washington Wizards/Los Angeles Lakers 1st Quarter Under 52 -110 [5Dimes]

Added Plays
Washington (1st 6 min) 1st Quarter +2 -110 [5Dimes]
Orlando (1st 6 min) 1st Quarter -½ -115 [5Dimes]
These are pretty correlated, but have a larger edge than the full quarter plays so I'm adding them in addition to the other plays. If you have not made the full quarter plays, you should combine the number of units for the 6 min plays only.

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Wednesday Results

1-0-0 (+2.55 units)

Free Play
0-1-0 (-0.75 units)

I will track these separately. It is too hard to track them combined with my tracker.

I hope to post free 3rd quarter plays with some regularity. No promises.

Wednesday Free Play

Charlotte Bobcats 3rd Quarter -1½ -110 (.75 units) [5Dimes]

Free for all. Never tried 3rd quarter bets. Good luck.

Wednesday Plays

Charlotte Bobcats -1½ -110 for 1st Quarter (2.8) [BetJM]/[5Dimes]

Monday, January 19, 2009

Monday Results

2-1-0 (+2.19 units)

I'm going to try and post results more often, but I get lazy.

Monday Plays

Detroit Pistons 1st Quarter -1 -115 (2.4) [5Dimes]
New York Knicks 1st Quarter -½ -105 (2.1) [5Dimes]
Charlotte Bobcats +1½ -110 for 1st Quarter (2.1) [BetJM]

Saturday, January 17, 2009

Record Update

Saturday Results
3-0-0 (+4.67 units)

Week Results
9-4-0 (+7.93 units; ROI: 40.25%)
How do you like them apples?

YTD Results
21-19-0 (+0.87 units; ROI: 1.35%)
First time in positive territory for new system!

If you would like to continue your subscription (or start a new one), please send payment soon so I can get you the password in time.

Saturday Plays

Philadelphia 76ers 1st Quarter -½ -105 (1.2) [5Dimes]
Detroit Pistons 1st Quarter +½ -105 (1.5) [5Dimes]
Orlando Magic +½ -110 for 1st Quarter (2) [BetJM]

Friday, January 16, 2009

Friday Plays

Philadelphia 76ers +½ -105 for 1st Quarter [BetJM]
Orlando Magic +1 -105 for 1st Quarter (2.2) [BetJM]

Added Play
Sacramento Kings +½ -115 for 1st Quarter (1.2) [BetJM]

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Wednesday Plays

Atlanta Hawks -1 -110 for 1st Quarter (1.5) [BetJM]
Atlanta Hawks 1st Quarter Over 24 -110 [5Dimes]

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Tuesday Plays

Phoenix Suns -2 -110 for 1st Quarter (1.4) [BetJM]/[5Dimes]
Houston Rockets +1 -105 for 1st Quarter (1.5) [BetJM]
Cleveland Cavaliers -2½ -115 for 1st Quarter (1.9) [BetJM]/[5Dimes]
Charlotte Bobcats/Detroit Pistons 1st Quarter Under 44½ -105 [5Dimes]

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Sunday Plays

Miami Heat/Los Angeles Lakers 1st Quarter Under 51½ -110 [5Dimes]
Miami Heat 1st Quarter +3½ -110 (1.3) [5Dimes]

Friday, January 9, 2009

Friday Plays

Washington Wizards/Chicago Bulls 1st Quarter Under 49 -110 [5Dimes]
Washington Wizards 1st Quarter +1½ -110 (2.7) [5Dimes]
Charlotte Bobcats 1st Quarter +1½ -110 (1.9) [5Dimes]

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Wednesday Plays

Memphis Grizzlies/New Jersey Nets 1st Quarter Over 45 -105 [5Dimes]
Indiana Pacers/Phoenix Suns 1st Quarter Over 58 -110 [5Dimes]
New Orleans Hornets 1st Quarter +1 -115 (1.6) [5Dimes]
New Jersey Nets 1st Quarter -1½ -105 (1.2) [5Dimes]

Saturday, January 3, 2009

Saturday Plays

Philadelphia 76ers 1st Quarter +3 -110 (2.7) [5Dimes]
New Orleans Hornets 1st Quarter +1 -115 (2.5) [5Dimes]

Friday, January 2, 2009

NCAAF Play

Texas -7½ -110 for Game [Skybook]

Friday Plays

Orlando Magic 1st Quarter -2½ -110 [5Dimes]
New Jersey Nets 1st Quarter +1½ -115 (1.1) [5Dimes]
Memphis Grizzlies 1st Quarter +2½ -105 (1.3) [5Dimes]

Thursday, January 1, 2009

NCAAF Plays

USC -8½-110 [SportBet]

Not tracked. Free for all because I more or less really suck at NCAAF, so be weary or fade.