Monday Results

3-1-0 (+2.01 units)

Monday Plays

MLB
Chicago White Sox -144 for Game (1.6) [5Dimes]
Texas Rangers +170 for Game (1.5) [5Dimes]
Washington Nationals/Florida Marlins over 9 -105 for Game [5Dimes]
Washington Nationals +126 for Game (2.6) [5Dimes]

Record Update

Saturday Results
0-1-1 (-1.00 units)

Week Results
1-2-1 (-1.15 units; ROI: -37.10%)

YTD Results
4-5-1 (-3.69 units; ROI: -24.77%)

Saturday Plays

I haven't been getting many plays, either because the lines are pretty "sharp" or my kelly fraction is too small. I'm going to assume it is the second one. I upped my kelly fraction slightly and got 1 play.

Minnesota Lynx +4 -105 for Game [5Dimes]

Added Play
NY Liberty +4 -109 for Game (1.3) [5Dimes]

Thursday Results

1-1-0 (-0.15 units)

Thursday Plays

Minnesota Lynx -5½ -110 for Game (1.1) [5Dimes]

Added Play
San Antonio Silver Stars/Houston Comets over 141 -105 for Game [5Dimes]

No Plays Today

Nothing looks too favorable today with my system. I may have to start making plays earlier (night before) before major line moves.

NBA Finals Prop

Lakers Loss. Time to reload matchbook account...

No WNBA games tomorrow. I may post some MLB plays tonight.

Friday Results and Next Week

MLB Results
1-1-0 (-0.20 units)

WNBA Results
2-1-0 (+1.10 units)
Poor bet sizing again.

I will not have internet access for the next week. Be back on Monday the 23rd.

Friday Plays

MLB
Texas Rangers +138 for Game (1.6) [BetJM]
Washington Nationals +127 for Game (1.1) [BetJM]

WNBA Plays tomorrow, if any

I have made some modifications to my baseball system. It now incorporates current year statistics to develop pitching power ratings. Hopefully this will help.

WNBA
Connecticut Sun +5½ -108 for Game (1.5) [5Dimes]
Chicago Sky -6 -108 for Game (2) [5Dimes]
Indiana Fever -7½ -105 for Game (1.8) [5Dimes]

Wednesday Results

1-2-0 (-3.64 units)

That's bad bet sizing...

Wednesday Plays

WNBA
Detroit Shock +5 -110 for Game (1.8) [5Dimes]
Indiana Fever +2½ -110 for Game (3.2) [5Dimes]
Sacramento Monarchs +3½ -110 for Game (1.5) [5Dimes]

I recommend very low unit sizes if you are going to tail these picks. Remember that the (units) are RISK not to win.

Added Play
New York Liberty -7 -110 for Game (3.9) [BetJM]
My bad. Do not take the NY Liberty play. I made a calculation error that I just found.
I already made the play for myself, but I arbed out of about 3 units of it at [5Dimes] at +7.5 -105.

No Plays Today

Only 1 game, doesn't look good either way.

WNBA System Startup

I am pleased to announce that WNBA 1.0 will be unleashed tomorrow. It will be based on 100% statistics because my WNBA knowledge ends at the fact I know Candace Parker and Lisa Leslie play for the LA Sparks.

Hopefully we can repeat the success of the NBA system.

NBA Play

NBA Finals Series Price
LA Lakers -170 [Matchbook]

Assign some arbitrary unit size to it.

Record Update

Friday Results
2-3-0 (-3.76 units)

Week Results
12-23-0 (-13.63 units; ROI: -23.06%)

YTD Results
153-176-17 (-16.34 units; ROI: -3.16%)

Sorry guys for no update in the last few days. I have been really busy and super frustrated since I've been beating the closing lines by a lot and ending up down a lot of units. There is no way my expected ROI is -3.16%, especially the week results of -23% ROI. I know a lot is "variance" but this has kept up the entire season. I think I will wait until the next PECOTA update until I start posting anything.

On a different note, I finished my WNBA system so that will start up in about a week. I am waiting for more data to come in for this season (somewhere between 8-10 games for all teams).