Archive for June, 2008

Wednesday Results

1-2-0 (-3.64 units)

That’s bad bet sizing…

Wednesday Plays

WNBA
Detroit Shock +5 -110 for Game (1.8) [5Dimes]
Indiana Fever +2½ -110 for Game (3.2) [5Dimes]
Sacramento Monarchs +3½ -110 for Game (1.5) [5Dimes]

I recommend very low unit sizes if you are going to tail these picks. Remember that the (units) are RISK not to win.

Added Play
New York Liberty -7 -110 for Game (3.9) [BetJM]

My bad. Do not take the NY Liberty play. I made a calculation error that I just found.
I already made the play for myself, but I arbed out of about 3 units of it at [5Dimes] at +7.5 -105.

No Plays Today

Only 1 game, doesn’t look good either way.

WNBA System Startup

I am pleased to announce that WNBA 1.0 will be unleashed tomorrow. It will be based on 100% statistics because my WNBA knowledge ends at the fact I know Candace Parker and Lisa Leslie play for the LA Sparks.

Hopefully we can repeat the success of the NBA system.

NBA Play

NBA Finals Series Price
LA Lakers -170 [Matchbook]

Assign some arbitrary unit size to it.

Record Update

Friday Results
2-3-0 (-3.76 units)

Week Results
12-23-0 (-13.63 units; ROI: -23.06%)

YTD Results
153-176-17 (-16.34 units; ROI: -3.16%)

Sorry guys for no update in the last few days. I have been really busy and super frustrated since I’ve been beating the closing lines by a lot and ending up down a lot of units. There is no way my expected ROI is -3.16%, especially the week results of -23% ROI. I know a lot is “variance” but this has kept up the entire season. I think I will wait until the next PECOTA update until I start posting anything.

On a different note, I finished my WNBA system so that will start up in about a week. I am waiting for more data to come in for this season (somewhere between 8-10 games for all teams).