Pure Sabermetrics
The Data Mining Project
Archive for January, 2008
January 31, 2008 at 9:34 pm · Filed under Results · By dudeimstoked
4-1-0 (+4.56 units)
If you told me SEA without Szczerbiak was going to score 40 in a quarter I would try to sell you a bridge.
Bills217 on 2+2 has a nice spreadsheet for tracking bets. I highly recommend some form of tracking so you can keep track of how well you are doing: Spreadsheet
I use smartcapper.com to track all of mine. Smartcapper has a lot of useful tools on the site also, except for picks
.
January 31, 2008 at 11:02 am · Filed under Picks · By dudeimstoked
Seattle Supersonics +3½ -108 for Game [5Dimes]
Los Angeles (L) 7.5 +103 (2) [Matchbook]
Boston -102 (2) [Matchbook]
Sorry they’re a little late. I just woke up.
Added Play
Dallas Mavericks team total under 94½ -105 for Game (1.5) [5Dimes]
Possible play on the CLE/SEA game depending on LeBron. Check back close to tip off.
Added Play
Under 192.0 (CLE/SEA) +100 (2) [Matchbook]
January 30, 2008 at 10:32 pm · Filed under Results · By dudeimstoked
2-6-0 (-6.27 units)
Can I not lose a FREAKING PLAY IN THE SECOND HALF? That is all.
January 30, 2008 at 9:19 am · Filed under Picks · By dudeimstoked
Charlotte 7.0 +112 (2) [Matchbook]
Charlotte Bobcats +7½ -105 for Game [5Dimes]
Chicago 4.0 +111 [Matchbook]
Chicago Bulls +4½ -105 for Game [5Dimes]
New Orleans -8.5 -103 (2.5) [Matchbook]
Portland Trailblazers -3 -103 for Game (3) [5Dimes]
There are multiple plays on the same side because I’m getting tired of losing by 1/2 of a point, but I still like the better odds, so I’m splitting the plays up.
Also from last night:
Toronto Raptors -5 -110 for Game (2.5) [BetJM]
Toronto -5.5 -110 (2) [Superbook]
If you didn’t get these lines, I still like a 2.5-3 unit play at -10. Alternatively, the WAS UNDER 90.5 is not horrible either.
Check back later for a ATL/LAC play. Waiting for definite status on a lot of the Clippers.
January 29, 2008 at 10:58 pm · Filed under Results · By dudeimstoked
5-6-0 (-6.07 units)
Screw that. Stupid NY. Stupid MIL. Toronto should learn how to get a defensive rebound every once and a while. Interesting, the plays I lost were all the big ones. Won all the smaller ones.
January 29, 2008 at 7:01 pm · Filed under Picks · By dudeimstoked
Toronto Raptors -5 -110 for Game (2.5) [BetJM]
Took the TOR play where the sun don’t shine today. Let’s try again tomorrow.
This line has been taken down by some books or not even offered by others. There is no way that TOR doesn’t cover this spread. Well, that’s what I thought about today…
Added more
Toronto -5.5 -110 (2) [SuperBook]
Pinny currently has this line at -8.5
January 29, 2008 at 2:32 pm · Filed under Picks · By dudeimstoked
Chicago Bulls -4 -107 for Game
Boston -5.0 +107 (2)
Indiana 7.5 -102 (1.5)
Houston -3.5 +106 (2)
Milwaukee 5.0 +101 (3)
Under 188.5 (MIN/CHI) -106
New York 8.5 +125 (2)
New York 9.5 +101 (2)
Toronto 1.5 -103 (2.5)
Added Play
Caron Butler is out for tonight
Toronto Raptors -2 -105 for Game (3) [5Dimes]
-Makes it the largest play ever at 5.5 units.
Another Added Play
Washington Wizards team total under 95½ -110 for Game [5Dimes]
-Pretty much makes the total 6.5 units. This game should make or break me today.
January 28, 2008 at 10:40 pm · Filed under Results · By dudeimstoked
2-0-0 (+5.07 units)
There aren’t many lines up for the games tomorrow as of now, so I will probably make the plays around 2:30pm PST.
January 28, 2008 at 9:52 am · Filed under Picks · By dudeimstoked
Jazz(Utah) -2 -110 (4) [SuperBook]
New Orleans -9.0 +107 [Matchbook]
I have changed my system slightly, focusing more on recent games because I feel those numbers better represent a team today, more so than the first game of the season, which is probably the reason I’m having more large (3-4 unit) plays.
January 27, 2008 at 10:58 pm · Filed under Results · By dudeimstoked
Forgot to post results for Friday.
Friday
4-4-0 (-2.15 units)
lost the Dal -7.5 play by .5 points. Hopefully you got the widely available -7 instead of being greedy for odds like I was.
Sunday
5-3-0 (+4.07 units)
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